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Why Mathematics? | Two-Way Cluster-Robust Standard Errors: Crossed Dependence

Why is mathematics important when the same observation belongs to two dependence systems, such as a firm and a year, a pupil and a test occasion, or a location and a weather event? Two-way cluster-robust covariance combines uncertainty from both cluster dimensions and subtracts their intersection so shared variation is counted once.

Did You Know? The familiar inclusion–exclusion rule appears inside two-way clustering: covariance for dimension A plus covariance for dimension B minus covariance for the A-by-B intersections.

Full chapter index

Chapters 1–5 · Understand the question
  1. The crossed-dependence question
  2. The documented estimator
  3. The inclusion–exclusion formula
  4. A scalar worked example
  5. Why the intersection matters
Chapters 6–11 · Reproduce the example
  1. The score-sum view
  2. Choosing dimension A
  3. Choosing dimension B
  4. Nested versus crossed groups
  5. Balanced panels are not required
  6. Cluster counts in both dimensions
Chapters 12–18 · Check assumptions
  1. Small-sample correction
  2. Point estimates remain the same
  3. Fixed effects and two-way clustering
  4. A school assessment example
  5. A business panel example
  6. Negative combined components
  7. A sensitivity display
Chapters 19–24 · Explore applications
  1. One-sentence conclusion
  2. Limits
  3. Transfer to learning
  4. A spreadsheet workflow
  5. A coding workflow
  6. Applications and careers
Chapters 25–35 · Study and verify
  1. A student investigation
  2. Common misconceptions
  3. Connection to recent mathematics articles
  4. Guidance for students and parents
  5. Practice questions
  6. Frequently asked questions
  7. A reporting checklist
  8. Intersection labels as mathematics
  9. When one-way may be enough
  10. Final two-way audit
  11. Useful next reading

CHAPTER 1 OF 35 · Understand the question

1. The crossed-dependence question

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One-way clustering permits arbitrary dependence within one grouping and treats different groups as independent. Panel and crossed data can have common shocks along two axes. Firm observations may share firm-specific disturbances across years, while all firms in one year share a macroeconomic shock.

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CHAPTER 2 OF 35 · Understand the question

2. The documented estimator

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Statsmodels documents `cov_cluster_2groups` as a two-group cluster covariance and returns the combined result plus both one-way components. Its current implementation uses the additive CRV1 combination. Read the documentation.

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CHAPTER 3 OF 35 · Understand the question

3. The inclusion–exclusion formula

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Write V_A for covariance clustered on dimension A, V_B for dimension B and V_AB for covariance clustered on the intersection labels. The two-way estimate is V_A+V_B−V_AB. Subtraction removes contemporaneous row-level or cell-level variation that entered both one-way pieces.

ComponentVariance
Firm0.09
Year0.06
Intersection0.02
Two-way variance components.

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CHAPTER 4 OF 35 · Understand the question

4. A scalar worked example

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Suppose one coefficient has one-way cluster variance 0.09 by firm, 0.06 by year and 0.02 by firm-year intersection. The two-way variance is 0.09+0.06−0.02=0.13. Its standard error is sqrt(0.13)=0.3606, rounded to four decimal places.

Combined varianceStandard error
0.130.3606
Two-way result.

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CHAPTER 5 OF 35 · Understand the question

5. Why the intersection matters

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Adding the two one-way estimates without subtraction double-counts the overlap. The intersection grouping identifies observations that share both labels. In a simple firm-year panel with one row per cell, that component can resemble a heteroscedasticity-robust contribution, subject to correction conventions.

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CHAPTER 6 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

6. The score-sum view

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For each dimension, form cluster score sums and add their outer products. Repeat for intersection clusters. Common bread matrices translate each meat into coefficient covariance. This construction makes the dependence assumption visible rather than hiding it behind a software label.

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CHAPTER 7 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

7. Choosing dimension A

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The first cluster dimension needs a mechanism. Repeated measurements from the same person may share stable unobserved traits; records from the same school may share leadership and environment. Labels are meaningful only when they correspond to possible common shocks.

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CHAPTER 8 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

8. Choosing dimension B

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The second dimension represents a distinct dependence path. Calendar time can create common policy, market or weather shocks across entities. Test occasion can create common difficulty shocks across pupils. The two axes should not be arbitrary duplicates.

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CHAPTER 9 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

9. Nested versus crossed groups

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If every classroom belongs to exactly one school, class and school are nested rather than fully crossed. Two-way clustering is not automatically required. The correct structure depends on the sampling and error process, and few groups at the higher level remain a challenge.

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CHAPTER 10 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

10. Balanced panels are not required

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Two-way covariance can be calculated with missing cells, but imbalance changes which contrasts carry information. Report counts for each dimension, intersection sparsity and whether attrition is related to the outcome or predictor.

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CHAPTER 11 OF 35 · Reproduce the example

11. Cluster counts in both dimensions

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Asymptotic justification typically needs enough independent clusters along the relevant dimensions. Many firms observed over only five years do not create many independent time shocks. The smallest cluster dimension can dominate inferential reliability.

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CHAPTER 12 OF 35 · Check assumptions

12. Small-sample correction

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Software may apply separate finite-sample factors to the one-way and intersection components. Record the exact option, cluster counts and reference distribution. A multiplicative correction cannot create missing independent years or schools.

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CHAPTER 13 OF 35 · Check assumptions

13. Point estimates remain the same

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Applying two-way covariance after an OLS fit leaves coefficients, fitted values and residuals unchanged. Tests and intervals change. If firm or time effects belong in the conditional mean, add them explicitly; covariance adjustment alone does not remove systematic mean differences.

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CHAPTER 14 OF 35 · Check assumptions

14. Fixed effects and two-way clustering

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Firm and year fixed effects absorb additive mean shifts. Residual dependence can remain within firms or years, so two-way clustering may still be relevant. The fixed effects determine the estimand and comparison; the covariance choice describes sampling uncertainty.

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CHAPTER 15 OF 35 · Check assumptions

15. A school assessment example

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Repeated pupil results can share pupil-specific dependence, while all pupils sitting the same assessment share an occasion shock. A two-way structure may be defensible if enough pupils and occasions exist. It does not by itself correct changing test content or learning trends.

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CHAPTER 16 OF 35 · Check assumptions

16. A business panel example

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Monthly outcomes for many shops may share shop persistence and month-wide demand shocks. Two-way clustering by shop and month acknowledges both. If there are only a few months, a time-series or design-specific analysis may be more honest.

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CHAPTER 17 OF 35 · Check assumptions

17. Negative combined components

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Because the formula subtracts an estimated intersection covariance, finite samples can produce unexpected entries or even a non-positive-semidefinite estimate. Treat this as a diagnostic of limited information, corrections or unstable components rather than silently forcing a convenient answer.

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CHAPTER 18 OF 35 · Check assumptions

18. A sensitivity display

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Show conventional, entity-cluster, time-cluster and two-way standard errors together with group counts. Explain why the two-way column matches the design. A large gap directs attention to the dependence mechanism and effective information.

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CHAPTER 19 OF 35 · Explore applications

19. One-sentence conclusion

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State both cluster dimensions, their counts, the intersection definition, the correction used and the two-way interval for the target coefficient.

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CHAPTER 20 OF 35 · Explore applications

20. Limits

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Two-way clustering does not cure omitted variables, few clusters, spillovers across all clusters, measurement error, selection, bad timing or a misspecified mean. Independence outside the declared dimensions must remain plausible.

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CHAPTER 21 OF 35 · Explore applications

21. Transfer to learning

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Students can connect inclusion–exclusion, grouped sums, matrices and experimental design by computing three scalar covariance components before moving to the full sandwich.

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CHAPTER 22 OF 35 · Explore applications

22. A spreadsheet workflow

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Create a validated row label for each cluster axis and a combined intersection label. Sum coefficient score contributions within each set, form the three meats, apply matched corrections and calculate V_A+V_B−V_AB. Keep component tables beside the final result.

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CHAPTER 23 OF 35 · Explore applications

23. A coding workflow

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Fit the mean model once, pass two verified group arrays to a documented routine and save all three returned covariance matrices. Unit-test the scalar 0.09+0.06−0.02 example and confirm that row order matches both label vectors.

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CHAPTER 24 OF 35 · Explore applications

24. Applications and careers

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Two-way clustering appears in economics, education research, epidemiology, finance, operations and policy evaluation. Careers also require institutional knowledge, careful identifiers, data governance and clear explanations of effective sample information.

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CHAPTER 25 OF 35 · Study and verify

25. A student investigation

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Simulate 50 entities over 20 periods with an entity shock, a period shock and individual noise. Compare one-way and two-way intervals. Hold the row count fixed while reducing periods, then explain why precision and coverage change.

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CHAPTER 26 OF 35 · Study and verify

26. Common misconceptions

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Two-way clustering is not “cluster twice and add”. It is not automatically needed for nested groups, does not change coefficients, does not solve few time periods and does not remove fixed mean differences.

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CHAPTER 27 OF 35 · Study and verify

27. Connection to recent mathematics articles

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The one-way cluster guide establishes cluster scores. The White sandwich guide explains bread and meat. The omitted-variable-bias guide explains why covariance correction cannot repair confounding.

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CHAPTER 28 OF 35 · Study and verify

28. Guidance for students and parents

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Students should draw both grouping axes and justify each common shock. Parents can ask whether the number of independent groups, rather than just the number of rows, supports the claim. This encourages design reasoning before software selection.

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CHAPTER 29 OF 35 · Study and verify

29. Practice questions

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  • Recalculate the scalar variance and standard error.
  • Explain the subtraction term.
  • Distinguish nested from crossed groups.
  • Identify the weak dimension in a 500-firm, 5-year panel.
  • Explain why fixed effects and clustering are different.

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CHAPTER 30 OF 35 · Study and verify

30. Frequently asked questions

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### Does two-way clustering refit OLS? No.

### Why subtract the intersection? To avoid double-counting overlap.

### Are many rows sufficient? No; counts in both cluster dimensions matter.

### Does it prove causality? No.

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CHAPTER 31 OF 35 · Study and verify

31. A reporting checklist

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Name the sampling unit, model, target parameter, dependence structure, estimator, correction and validation checks. Show the calculation or reproducible code, report uncertainty as an interval, and separate what the method estimates from what the study design can support.

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CHAPTER 32 OF 35 · Study and verify

32. Intersection labels as mathematics

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A pair such as (firm, year) can be encoded as a unique cell label. The intersection covariance is calculated as if those cells were clusters, then removed from the sum of the two marginal cluster covariances.

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CHAPTER 33 OF 35 · Study and verify

33. When one-way may be enough

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If only one defensible dependence channel exists, adding a second arbitrary dimension adds noise without scientific justification. Start from sampling, assignment and shared-shock mechanisms, then choose the simplest covariance structure that covers them.

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CHAPTER 34 OF 35 · Study and verify

34. Final two-way audit

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Verify both label arrays, cluster counts, intersection cells, small-sample settings, fixed-effect specification and sensitivity to one-way alternatives. Report unresolved cross-cluster spillovers or few-cluster limits.

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CHAPTER 35 OF 35 · Study and verify

35. Useful next reading

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Continue through the Mathematics Learning Hub. Reproduce the worked example by hand, then verify it with documented software before applying the method to a larger dataset.

Contents · Previous chapter · Mathematics Learning Hub

Extended practice laboratory

Practice case 1: Name axis A

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 1. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 2: Name axis B

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 2. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 3: Build intersection labels

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 3. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 4: Count A groups

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 4. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 5: Count B groups

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 5. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 6: Count cells

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 6. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 7: Form A scores

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 7. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 8: Form B scores

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 8. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 9: Form cell scores

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 9. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 10: Calculate V-A

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 10. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 11: Calculate V-B

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 11. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 12: Calculate V-AB

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 12. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 13: Apply inclusion-exclusion

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 13. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 14: Take the square root

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 14. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 15: Add fixed effects

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 15. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 16: Remove fixed effects

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 16. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 17: Unbalance the panel

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 17. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 18: Reduce time groups

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 18. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 19: Check nesting

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 19. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 20: Check crossings

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 20. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 21: Choose correction

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 21. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 22: Reject double addition

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 22. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 23: Report components

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 23. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 24: Name limitations

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 24. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.

Practice case 25: Write conclusion

Setup: Start from the article’s two-way cluster covariance worked mechanism for case 25. Task: Change the named quantity, recompute the dependent result and compare it with the original.

Check: Preserve the sampling, group or time unit, verify the defining identity and state one validation check before interpretation. Show the arithmetic, name the response and predictor units, and separate the numerical result from the claim it supports. Then vary one defensible assumption, calculate again and explain whether the conclusion changed because of the data, the fitted model or the validation purpose. Finish with one compact table or graph that could reveal a failure hidden by the summary.